Catalyst calendar

The repricing schedule is mostly public if you actually look at it.

December 2026

  • 09mediumProgramSPCX full lock-up expiry (~180 days post-IPO)Full release of insider stock (excluding Musk's 366-day lock) is the largest float-expansion event for SPCX and a sentiment risk for the SpaceX-heavy wrappers that re-rated on the IPO.

December 2028

  • 31mediumProgramGolden Dome space-based-interceptor capability demonstration deadlineThe $3.2B prototype awards require selected firms — including private K2 and Anduril plus SpaceX — to demonstrate orbital-interceptor capability by 2028, the milestone that converts private backlog into shipped hardware the wrappers will mark.

Past

  • 2026-08-21SPCX lock-up first tranche release (~70 days post-IPO)
  • 2026-08-20SpaceX first post-IPO quarterly print (est.)